Probabilistic performance assessment of wind energy conversion systems

被引:65
作者
Karaki, SH [1 ]
Chedid, RB [1 ]
Ramadan, R [1 ]
机构
[1] Amer Univ Beirut, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, New York, NY 10022 USA
关键词
renewable energy; reliability evaluation; battery storage; production costing;
D O I
10.1109/60.766986
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
This paper describes the development of a general probabilistic model of an autonomous wind energy conversion system (WECS) composed of several wind turbines (wind farm) connected to a load and a battery storage. The proposed technique allows the simulation of wind farms containing identical or different wind turbines types and considers a bi-directional flow of power in and out of the battery. The model is based upon a simple procedure to estimate the joint probability distribution function of the total available wind power and that of the turbines operating modes due to hardware failure. A methodology is also developed to use the proposed model to determine an upper limit on the size of the battery storage required for a given number of turbines to satisfy the load with a certain expected energy not supplied (EENS). The model can also be used to evaluate the energy purchased from or injected to the grid in the case of grid-connected systems.
引用
收藏
页码:217 / 222
页数:6
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