The external finance premium and the macroeconomy: US post-WWII evidence

被引：65

作者：

De Graeve, Ferre ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Fed Reserve Bank Dallas, Dallas, TX 75201 USA

[2] Univ Ghent, Dept Financial Econ, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium

来源：

JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL | 2008年 / 32卷 / 11期

关键词：

External finance premium; Financial frictions; DSGE; Bayesian estimation;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jedc.2008.02.008

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The central variable of theories of financial frictions-the external finance premium-is unobservable. This paper distils the external finance premium from a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model estimated on US macroeconomic data covering the period 1954 to 2004. Within the DSGE framework, movements in the premium can be given an interpretation in terms of shocks driving business cycles. A key result is that the estimate-based solely on non-financial macroeconomic data-picks up over 70% of the dynamics of lower grade corporate bond spreads. The paper also identifies a gain in fitting key macroeconomic aggregates by including financial frictions in the model and documents how shock transmission is affected. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：3415 / 3440

页数：26

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