What triggers market jitters? A chronicle of the Asian crisis

被引:163
作者
Kaminsky, GL [1 ]
Schmukler, SL
机构
[1] George Washington Univ, Dept Econ, Washington, DC 20052 USA
[2] World Bank, Washington, DC 20433 USA
关键词
financial markets; currency crises; herding behavior; contagion; crisis management;
D O I
10.1016/S0261-5606(99)00015-7
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
In the chaotic financial environment of Asia in 1997-1998, daily changes in stock prices of about 10 percent became commonplace. This paper analyses what type of news moved the markets in those days of market jitters. We find that movements were triggered by local and neighboring-country news, with news about agreements with international organizations and credit rating agencies having the most weight. However, some of those large changes cannot be explained by any apparent substantial news, but seem to be driven by herd instincts of the market itself. The evidence suggests that investors over-react to bad news. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:537 / 560
页数:24
相关论文
共 24 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], BROOKINGS PAPERS EC
[2]  
BAIG T, 1998, UNPUB FINANCIAL MARK
[3]   A SIMPLE-MODEL OF HERD BEHAVIOR [J].
BANERJEE, AV .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1992, 107 (03) :797-817
[4]  
CALVO G, 1997, UNPUB RATIONAL HERD
[5]   Mexico's balance-of-payments crisis: A chronicle of a death foretold [J].
Calvo, GA ;
Mendoza, EG .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, 1996, 41 (3-4) :235-264
[6]  
CORSETTI G, 1998, UNPUB WHAT CAUSED AS
[7]  
Edison HJ, 1997, INT J FINANC ECON, V2, P87
[8]  
FRANKEL JA, 1998, 1886 WORLD BANK
[9]  
GANAPOLSKY E, 1998, 1951 WORLD BANK
[10]  
KAMINSKY G, 1998, UNPUB WHAT MOVES FIN