Future flood risk management in the UK

被引:46
作者
Evans, E [1 ]
Hall, J
Penning-Rowsell, E
Sayers, P
Thorne, C
Watkinson, A
机构
[1] Univ Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, Lanark, Scotland
[2] Newcastle Univ, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 7RU, Tyne & Wear, England
[3] Middlesex Univ, Flood Hazard Res Ctr, London N17 8HR, England
[4] Wallingford Ltd, River & Coastal Syst, HR, Wallingford, Oxon, England
[5] Univ Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
[6] Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich, Norfolk, England
[7] Univ E Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
关键词
floods & floodworks; risk and probability analysis;
D O I
10.1680/wama.2006.159.1.53
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
The Foresight Future Flooding project has analysed future flood risk in a scenario framework for the whole of the UK. The analysis predicts increasing flood risk unless current flood management policies and investment levels are changed, with up to a twentyfold increase in economic risk by the 2080s. The increase is attributable to a combination of climate change and increasing value of household, industrial and infrastructure assets. Potential responses are assessed in terms of the three pillars of sustainability: social, environmental and economic. The work described has formed much of the evidence base for the new government strategy for flood risk management in England, 'Making space for water'.
引用
收藏
页码:53 / 61
页数:9
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