Is there a 60-year oscillation in global mean sea level?

被引:166
作者
Chambers, Don P. [1 ]
Merrifield, Mark A. [2 ]
Nerem, R. Steven [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ S Florida, Coll Marine Sci, St Petersburg, FL 33713 USA
[2] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Oceanog, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[3] Univ Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
关键词
ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; TROPICAL PACIFIC; NORTH PACIFIC; TEMPERATURE;
D O I
10.1029/2012GL052885
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
070403 [天体物理学];
摘要
We examine long tide gauge records in every ocean basin to examine whether a quasi 60-year oscillation observed in global mean sea level (GMSL) reconstructions reflects a true global oscillation, or an artifact associated with a small number of gauges. We find that there is a significant oscillation with a period around 60-years in the majority of the tide gauges examined during the 20th Century, and that it appears in every ocean basin. Averaging of tide gauges over regions shows that the phase and amplitude of the fluctuations are similar in the North Atlantic, western North Pacific, and Indian Oceans, while the signal is shifted by 10 years in the western South Pacific. The only sampled region with no apparent 60-year fluctuation is the Central/Eastern North Pacific. The phase of the 60-year oscillation found in the tide gauge records is such that sea level in the North Atlantic, western North Pacific, Indian Ocean, and western South Pacific has been increasing since 1985-1990. Although the tide gauge data are still too limited, both in time and space, to determine conclusively that there is a 60-year oscillation in GMSL, the possibility should be considered when attempting to interpret the acceleration in the rate of global and regional mean sea level rise. Citation: Chambers, D. P., M. A. Merrifield, and R. S. Nerem (2012), Is there a 60-year oscillation in global mean sea level?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L18607, doi:10.1029/2012GL052885.
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页数:6
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