Short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal by neural networks and wavelet transform

被引:222
作者
Catalao, J. P. S. [1 ,2 ]
Pousinho, H. M. I. [1 ]
Mendes, V. M. F. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Beira Interior, Dept Electromech Engn, P-6201001 Covilha, Portugal
[2] Univ Tecn Lisboa, Inst Super Tecn, Ctr Innovat Elect & Energy Engn, P-1049001 Lisbon, Portugal
[3] Inst Super Engn Lisboa, Dept Elect Engn & Automat, P-1950062 Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
Wind power; Forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Wavelet transform; FEATURE-EXTRACTION; SPEED;
D O I
10.1016/j.renene.2010.09.016
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This paper proposes artificial neural networks in combination with wavelet transform for short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal. The increased integration of wind power into the electric grid, as nowadays occurs in Portugal, poses new challenges due to its intermittency and volatility. Hence, good forecasting tools play a key role in tackling these challenges. Results from a real-world case study are presented. A comparison is carried out, taking into account the results obtained with other approaches. Finally, conclusions are duly drawn. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1245 / 1251
页数:7
相关论文
共 30 条
  • [1] Ackermann T, 2005, WIND POWER IN POWER SYSTEMS, P1, DOI 10.1002/0470012684
  • [2] Short-term load forecasting of power systems by combination of wavelet transform and neuro-evolutionary algorithm
    Amjady, N.
    Keynia, F.
    [J]. ENERGY, 2009, 34 (01) : 46 - 57
  • [3] Day ahead price forecasting of electricity markets by a mixed data model and hybrid forecast method
    Amjady, Nima
    Keynia, Farshid
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS, 2008, 30 (09) : 533 - 546
  • [4] [Anonymous], 1999, Neural and adaptive systems: fundamentals through simulations with CD-ROM
  • [5] Entropy and Correntropy Against Minimum Square Error in Offline and Online Three-Day Ahead Wind Power Forecasting
    Bessa, Ricardo J.
    Miranda, Vladimiro
    Gama, Joao
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2009, 24 (04) : 1657 - 1666
  • [6] Short term wind speed forecasting in La Venta, Oaxaca, Mexico, using artificial neural networks
    Cadenas, Erasmo
    Rivera, Wilfrido
    [J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2009, 34 (01) : 274 - 278
  • [7] Short-term electricity prices forecasting in a competitive market: A neural network approach
    Catalao, J. P. S.
    Mariano, S. J. P. S.
    Mendes, V. M. F.
    Ferreira, L. A. F. M.
    [J]. ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH, 2007, 77 (10) : 1297 - 1304
  • [8] Catalao JPS, 2009, ENG INTELL SYST ELEC, V17, P5, DOI 10.1109/ISAP.2009.5352853
  • [9] Day-ahead electricity price forecasting using the wavelet transform and ARIMA models
    Conejo, AJ
    Plazas, MA
    Espínola, R
    Molina, AB
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2005, 20 (02) : 1035 - 1042
  • [10] A review on the young history of the wind power short-term prediction
    Costa, Alexandre
    Crespo, Antonio
    Navarro, Jorge
    Lizcano, Gil
    Madsen, Henrik
    Feitosa, Everaldo
    [J]. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2008, 12 (06) : 1725 - 1744