Evaluation of polymer electrolyte fuel cell application technology R&Ds by GERT analysis

被引：11

作者：

Hayashi, A

Kosugi, T

Yoshida, H

机构：

[1] RITE, Syst Anal Grp, Kyoto 6190292, Japan

[2] Ritsumeikan Univ, Coll Policy Sci, Kita Ku, Kyoto 6038577, Japan

[3] MUZA KAWASKI Cent Tower, NEDO, Saiwai Ku, Kawasaki, Kanagawa 2128554, Japan

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HYDROGEN ENERGY | 2005年 / 30卷 / 09期

关键词：

proton exchange fuel cell; graphical evaluation and review technique; R&D success probability; R&D time; cost-effective investment;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ijhydene.2004.11.004

中图分类号：

O64 [物理化学（理论化学）、化学物理学];

学科分类号：

070304 ; 081704 ;

摘要：

Research and developments (R&Ds) of polymer electrolyte fuel cell application technologies, including two types of residential cogeneration systems (CGSs) operating at different temperatures and three types of passenger fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) fueled by onboard clean gasoline or hydrogen, were evaluated through an R&D processes model constructed using graphical evaluation and review technique. The results include that (1) the intermediate temperature (i.e. 120-140 degrees C)-operating CGS and onboard hydrogen storage-type FCV have high R&D success probabilities of higher than 0.7; with realizations expected around the year 2021 under ordinary conditions, but as soon as 2017 given adequate R&D investment; (2) additional investments in system integration technologies are estimated to be the most cost-effective in shortening the R&D time of each application technology; and (3) concentrating the R&D of separator technologies in substitutional relationships to each other on metallic material-based technologies is one strategy for efficiency in elemental technology R&D investment. (c) 2005 International Association for Hydrogen Energy. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：931 / 941

页数：11

共 9 条

[1]

Hayashi A., 2001, Proceedings of the IASTED International Conference Power and Energy Systems, P310

[2]

HAYASHI A, 2004, ENERGY RESOURCES, V25, P77

[3] Time to realization:: Evaluation of CO2 capture technology R&Ds by GERT (Graphical evaluation and review technique) analysese [J].