Development and allocation of land-use scenarios in agriculture for hydrological impact studies

被引:26
作者
Klöcking, B
Ströbl, B
Knoblauch, S
Maier, U
Pfützner, B
Gericke, A
机构
[1] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany
[2] Univ Jena, Inst Geog, D-07743 Jena, Germany
[3] Thuringian Agcy Agr, D-07702 Jena, Germany
[4] Bur Appl Hydrol, D-13187 Berlin, Germany
[5] Bavarian State Inst Forestry, D-85354 Freising Weihenstephan, Germany
关键词
land-use changes; distributed hydrological modelling; crop generator; agricultural management practice;
D O I
10.1016/j.pce.2003.09.007
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
In order to study the impacts of Global Change induced future agricultural land-use patterns on regional water dynamics and water quality, the spatial and temporal crop distribution under present and under scenario conditions is needed. The development of land-use changes inside the arable areas was simulated by a bottom-up approach basing on the analysis of adaptation reactions of farmers. A Geographic Information System-based approach was developed, that performs a spatial allocation of these crop schemes, and reproduces the agricultural fruit patterns and rotation cycles. This so called "crop generator" was applied to the Thuringian Basin in Germany and the distributed eco-hydrological model ArcEGMO was run to simulate the water dynamics in the basin of the Upper Unstrut for the political frame of the European Union's AGENDA 2000. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1311 / 1321
页数:11
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