Timing of abrupt climate change: A precise clock

被引:142
作者
Rahmstorf, S
机构
[1] Potsdam Inst.for Climate Impact Res., PO Box 601203, Potsdam 14412, Germany
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2003GL017115
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
[1] Many paleoclimatic data reveal a 1,500 year cyclicity of unknown origin. A crucial question is how stable and regular this cycle is. An analysis of the GISP2 ice core record from Greenland reveals that abrupt climate events appear to be paced by a 1, 470-year cycle with a period that is probably stable to within a few percent; with 95% confidence the period is maintained to better than 12% over at least 23 cycles. This highly precise clock points to an origin outside the Earth system; oscillatory modes within the Earth system can be expected to be far more irregular in period.
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页码:17 / 1
页数:4
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