A social forecast revisited

被引：1

作者：

Mitton, R

Willmott, M

机构：

[1] Univ London Birkbeck Coll, Sch Comp Sci & Informat Syst, London WC1E 7HX, England

[2] Future Fdn, London EC1M 6EJ, England

来源：

FUTURES | 2005年 / 37卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/j.futures.2004.03.023

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

In 1971, the authors produced a 30-year forecast of leisure in the UK. In 2001 they obtained survey data for comparison with the forecasts. The paper presents the original forecasts and describes the methods used to produce them, assesses their accuracy in the light of the survey data., and concludes with some reflections on the underlying forecasting methodology and on changes in leisure patterns. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All fights reserved.

引用

页码：39 / 50

页数：12