A probabilistic model for the failure frequency of underground gas pipelines

被引：18

作者：

Cooke, R ^{[1
]}

Jager, E

机构：

[1] Delft Univ Technol, Dept Math, Delft, Netherlands

[2] Gasunie, Groningen, Netherlands

来源：

RISK ANALYSIS | 1998年 / 18卷 / 04期

关键词：

underground pipeline; corrosion; third-party interference; uncertainty analysis; expert judgment; risk analysis;

D O I：

10.1111/j.1539-6924.1998.tb00365.x

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

A model is constructed for the failure frequency of underground pipelines per kilometer year, as a function of pipe and environmental characteristics. The parameters in the model were quantified, with uncertainty, using historical data and structured expert judgment. Fifteen experts from institutes in The Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Italy, France, Germany, Belgium, Denmark, and Canada participated in the study.

引用

页码：511 / 527

页数：17