On measuring sensitivity to parametric model misspecification

被引:14
作者
Gustafson, P [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ British Columbia, Dept Stat, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z2, Canada
关键词
Bayes estimates; large sample theory; maximum likelihood estimates; model misspecification;
D O I
10.1111/1467-9868.00277
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In settings where parametric inference is inconsistent under model misspecification, the discrepancy between correct and misspecified inferences is compared with the discrepancy between correct and misspecified models. To make the comparison tractable, large sample and small misspecification approximations are employed. The ratio of the approximate discrepancy between inferences to the approximate discrepancy between models is regarded as a relative measure of sensitivity to model misspecification. The maximum ratio over a family of correct distributions is determined as a measure of worst case sensitivity. As well, the distribution producing this maximum can be examined, to see how a particular combination of a parametric family and estimand is susceptible to model misspecifications.
引用
收藏
页码:81 / 94
页数:14
相关论文
共 14 条
[1]  
Akaike H, 1973, 2 INT S INFORM THEOR, P199, DOI [10.1007/978-1-4612-1694-0_15, 10.1007/978-1-4612-1694-0]
[2]  
[Anonymous], P 5 BERK S MATH STAT
[3]   LIMITING BEHAVIOR OF POSTERIOR DISTRIBUTIONS WHEN MODEL IS INCORRECT [J].
BERK, RH .
ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1966, 37 (01) :51-&
[4]   CONSISTENCY A POSTERIORI [J].
BERK, RH .
ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1970, 41 (03) :894-&
[5]  
Bunke O, 1998, ANN STAT, V26, P617
[6]   On the overall sensitivity of the posterior distribution to its inputs [J].
Clarke, B ;
Gustafson, P .
JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE, 1998, 71 (1-2) :137-150
[7]  
COOK RD, 1986, J ROY STAT SOC B MET, V48, P133
[8]  
DIACONIS P, 1986, ANN STAT, V14, P1, DOI 10.1214/aos/1176349830
[9]   ON INCONSISTENT BAYES ESTIMATES OF LOCATION [J].
DIACONIS, P ;
FREEDMAN, D .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1986, 14 (01) :68-87
[10]   ROBUST PROPERTIES OF LIKELIHOOD RATIO TESTS [J].
KENT, JT .
BIOMETRIKA, 1982, 69 (01) :19-27