Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020

被引:273
作者
Wu, Peng [1 ]
Hao, Xinxin [1 ]
Lau, Eric H. Y. [1 ]
Wong, Jessica Y. [1 ]
Leung, Kathy S. M. [1 ]
Wu, Joseph T. [1 ]
Cowling, Benjamin J. [1 ]
Leung, Gabriel M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Hong Kong, Sch Publ Hlth, Li Ka Shing Fac Med, WHO,Collaborating Ctr Infect Dis Epidemiol & Cont, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词
ACUTE-RESPIRATORY-SYNDROME; CASE-FATALITY RATIO; MERS-COV OUTBREAK; SOUTH-KOREA;
D O I
10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.3.2000044
中图分类号
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号
100401 ;
摘要
A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9-32%).
引用
收藏
页码:4 / 9
页数:6
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