An assessment of the economic and. environmental potential of biomass production in an agricultural region

被引:45
作者
Bryan, Brett A. [1 ]
Ward, John [1 ]
Hobbs, Trevor [2 ]
机构
[1] CSIRO Land & Water, Policy & Econ Res Unit, Glen Osmond, SA 5064, Australia
[2] Pasadena Nat Resource Ctr, Dept Water Land & Biodivers Conservat, Cooperat Res Ctr Plant Based Management Dryland S, Pasadena, SA 5042, Australia
关键词
biomass production; economic incentives; climate change; landscape scale; natural resource management; spatial analysis;
D O I
10.1016/j.landusepol.2007.11.003
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The establishment of deep-rooted perennial species and their processing for biomass-based products such as renewable energy can have benefits for both local and global scale environmental objectives. In this study, we assess the potential economic viability of biomass production in the South Australian River Murray Corridor and quantify the resultant benefits for local and global scale environmental objectives. We model the spatial distribution of economically viable biomass production in a Geographic Information System and quantify the model sensitivity and uncertainty using Monte Carlo analysis. The total potentially viable area for biomass production under the Most Likely Scenario is 360,728 ha (57.7% of the dryland agricultural area), producing over 3 million tonnes of green biomass per annum, with a total Net Present Value over 100 years of A$ 88 million. The salinity in the River Murray could be reduced by 2.65 EC (mu S/cm) over a 100-year timeframe, and over 96,000 ha of land with high wind erosion potential could be stabilised over a much shorter period. With sufficient generating capacity, our Most Likely Scenario suggests that economically viable biomass production could reduce carbon emissions by over 1.7 million tonnes per annum. through the production of renewable energy and a reduced reliance on coal-based electricity generation. Our analyses suggest that biomass production is a potentially viable alternative agricultural system that can have substantial local scale environmental benefits with complimentary global scale benefits for climate change mitigation. (c) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:533 / 549
页数:17
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