A comparison of a Bayesian population method with two methods as implemented in commercially available software

In this paper we describe and discuss three specific estimation procedures that are available within commercially available population software packages. The first version of NONMEM (I) was released in 1979 and later versions are the standard analysis tools in both industry and academia. Recently, two commercially available pieces of software have become available. PPHARM was released during 1994 and POPKAN was released in 1995. We provide descriptions and critique the FOCE method within NONMEM, the two-step algorithm within PPHARM and the Markov chain Monte Carlo method that is utilized by POPKAN. We use simulated data generated from a monoexponential model to evaluate the parameter estimation capabilities of these methods within the three software tools. In particular we investigate the effect on parameter estimation of increasing both interindividual and intraindividual variability.