Fatality rates for crashes involving heavy vehicles on highways: A random parameter tobit regression approach

被引:28
作者
Bin Islam, Mouyid [1 ]
Hernandez, Salvador [2 ]
机构
[1] CH2M Hill Inc, 8735 West Higgins Rd, Chicago, IL 60631 USA
[2] Oregon State Univ, Sch Civil & Construct Engn, Corvallis, OR 97331 USA
关键词
large trucks safety; freight transportation; random parameters tobit model; crash rates; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT OCCURRENCE; NEGATIVE BINOMIAL MODEL; EMPIRICAL-ANALYSIS; INJURY SEVERITY; FREQUENCIES; TRUCK; INTERSECTIONS; COEFFICIENTS; COLLISIONS; INQUIRY;
D O I
10.1080/19439962.2015.1027071
中图分类号
U [交通运输];
学科分类号
08 ; 0823 ;
摘要
Few studies have analyzed the impacts of freight movements (large truck) on crash fatality rates. This study explores a novel application of a method, namely the random parameters tobit regression model to large truck fatality rates by using the nationwide Fatality Analysis Reporting System. By utilizing random parameter tobit regression the authors examined crash rates (instead of frequencies) in per million truck-miles traveled and ton-miles of freight in the United States as continuous censored variables. The empirical and statistical results illustrate that the random-parameters tobit regression model provides a better understanding of the fatality rates per million truck-miles traveled and ton-miles of freight over the fixed parameter tobit model. Factors related to the crash mechanism, temporal and spatial characteristics, road and environmental attributes, vehicle configuration, drivers and passenger attributes were found to be statistically significant. Some exposure to injury severity related factors also were found to be significant with random parameters that vary across the observations.
引用
收藏
页码:247 / 265
页数:19
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