Potential growth of the world economy

被引：32

作者：

Jorgenson, Dale W. ^{[1
]}

Vu, Khuong M. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Harvard Univ, Dept Econ, Littauer Ctr 122, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA

[2] Natl Univ Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew Sch Publ Policy, Singapore 117548, Singapore

来源：

JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING | 2010年 / 32卷 / 05期

关键词：

Growth; Information technology; Investment; Productivity;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jpolmod.2010.07.011

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This paper introduces a new framework for projecting potential growth of the world economy emphasizing the contribution of information technology We first analyze the sources of economic growth for the world economy seven regions and fourteen major economies during four periods-1989-1995 1995-2000 2000-2004 and 2004-2008 The contribution of investment in information technology has increased in all regions but especially in industrialized economies and Developing Asia We then project the potential growth rates of labor productivity and GDP for 122 economies over the ten-year period 2009-2019 Relative to historical growth for 1989-2008, we project lower growth rates for productivity and GDP (C) 2010 Society for Policy Modeling Published by Elsevier Inc All rights reserved

引用

页码：615 / 631

页数：17

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