Spatial residual analysis of six modeling techniques

被引:129
作者
Zhang, LJ
Gove, JH
Heath, LS
机构
[1] SUNY Coll Environm Sci & Forestry, Fac Forest & Nat Resources Management, Syracuse, NY 13210 USA
[2] USDA, Forest Serv NE Res Stn, Durham, NH 03824 USA
关键词
spatial autocorrelation; local indicator of spatial autocorrelation (LISA); ordinary least squares (OLS); linear mixed model (LMM); generalized additive model (GAM); multi-layer perceptron (MLP) neural network; radial basis function (RBF) neural network; geographically weighted regression (GWR);
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.01.007
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
In recent years alternative modeling techniques have been used to account for spatial autocorrelations among data observations. They include linear mixed model (LMM), generalized additive model (GAM), multi-layer perceptron (MLP) neural network, radial basis function (RBF) neural network, and geographically weighted regression (GWR). Previous studies show these models are robust to the violation of model assumptions and flexible to nonlinear relationships among variables. However, many of them are non-spatial in nature. In this study, we utilize a local spatial analysis method (i.e., local Moran coefficient) to investigate spatial distribution and heterogeneity in model residuals from those modeling techniques with ordinary least-squares (OLS) as the benchmark. The regression model used in this study has tree crown area as the response variable, and tree diameter and the coordinates of tree locations as the predictor variables. The results indicate that LMM, GAM, MLP and RBF may improve model fitting to the data and provide better predictions for the response variable, but they generate spatial patterns for model residuals similar to OLS. The OLS, LMM, GAM, MLP and RBF models yield more residual clusters of similar values, indicating that trees in some sub-areas are either all underestimated or all overestimated for the response variable. In contrast, GWR estimates model coefficients at each location in the study area, and produces more accurate predictions for the response variable. Furthermore, the residuals of the GWR model have more desirable spatial distributions than the ones derived from the OLS, LMM, GAM, MLP and RBF models. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:154 / 177
页数:24
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