Community-acquired pneumonia mortality: a potential link to antibiotic prescribing trends in general practice

被引:42
作者
Price, DB
Honeybourne, D
Little, P
Mayon-White, RT
Read, RC
Thomas, M
Wale, MC
Fitzgerald, P
Weston, AR
Winchester, CC
机构
[1] Univ Aberdeen, Foresterhill Hlth Ctr, Dept Gen Practice & Primary Care, Aberdeen AB25 2AY, Scotland
[2] Birmingham Heartlands Hosp, Dept Resp Med, Birmingham B9 5SS, W Midlands, England
[3] Univ Southampton, Aldermoor Hlth Ctr, Fac Hlth Med & Biol Sci, Primary Med Care Grp, Southampton SO16 5ST, Hants, England
[4] Inst Hlth Sci, Oxford OX3 7LF, England
[5] Univ Sheffield, Sch Med, Div Mol & Genet Med, Sheffield S10 2RX, S Yorkshire, England
[6] Minchinhampton, Minchinhampton Surg, Stroud GL6 9JF, Glos, England
[7] Queens Med Ctr, PHLS Antimicrobial Susceptibil Surveillance Unit, Nottingham NG7 2UH, England
[8] M TAG Pty Ltd, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia
[9] Univ Newcastle, Ctr Clin Epidemiol & Biostat, Newcastle, NSW 2308, Australia
[10] Univ Sydney, Fac Hlth Sci, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia
[11] Hlth Technol Analysts Pty Ltd, Balmain, NSW 2041, Australia
[12] Healthworld Commun Grp, Reading RG7 1AT, Berks, England
[13] Oxford Pharma Genesis Ltd, Oxford OX13 5QJ, England
关键词
antibiotic prescribing; lower respiratory tract infection; community-acquired pneumonia mortality; retrospective analysis; England and Wales;
D O I
10.1016/j.rmed.2003.08.011
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要
Background: Community prescribing of antibiotics has decreased substantially in the UK in recent years. We examine the association between pneumonia mortality and recent changes in community-based antibiotic prescribing for lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI). Methods: Retrospective analysis of aggregated data for pneumonia mortality, influenza incidence, and antibiotic prescribing for LRTI in England and Wales during 12-week winter periods between 1993/94 and 1999/2000. Results: Winter antibiotic prescribing for LRTI showed a 30.0% decline since 1995/96. Over the same period, there was a 50.6% increase in winter excess pneumonia mortality adjusted for influenza incidence. Negative binomial regression analysis showed that the incidence of influenza alone had a significant association with winter pneumonia mortality (P<0.001). The analysis also showed the reduction in antibiotic prescribing had a small but significant association with mortality (P<0.001), when simultaneously modelling for influenza incidence.
引用
收藏
页码:17 / 24
页数:8
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