A stochastic version of the dynamic linear programming model MESSAGE III

被引:81
作者
Messner, S [1 ]
Golodnikov, A [1 ]
Gritsevskii, A [1 ]
机构
[1] VM GLUSHKOV CYBERNET INST,KIEV 252207,UKRAINE
关键词
D O I
10.1016/0360-5442(96)00025-4
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
This paper introduces an approach to modeling the uncertainties concerning future characteristics of energy technologies within the framework of long-term dynamic linear programming models. The approach chosen explicitly incorporates the uncertainties in the model, endogenizing interactions between decision structure and uncertainties involved. The use of this approach for future investment costs of electricity generation technologies in the framework of very long-term energy scenarios shows improvements in model behavior and more robust solutions with respect to technology choices made. Copyright (C) 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:775 / 784
页数:10
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