Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China

被引：234

作者：

Du, Zhanwei ^{[1
]}

Wang, Lin ^{[3
]}

Cauchemez, Simon ^{[3
]}

Xu, Xiaoke ^{[4
]}

Wang, Xianwen ^{[5
]}

Cowling, Benjamin J. ^{[6
]}

Meyers, Lauren Ancel ^{[2
,7
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Integrat Biol, 2415 Speedway,Stop C0930, Austin, TX 78712 USA

[2] Univ Texas Austin, Austin, TX 78712 USA

[3] Inst Pasteur, Paris, France

[4] Dalian Minzu Univ, Dalian, Peoples R China

[5] Dalian Univ Technol, Dalian, Peoples R China

[6] Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

[7] Santa Fe Inst, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USA

来源：

EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES | 2020年 / 26卷 / 05期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金; 美国国家卫生研究院;

关键词：

D O I：

10.3201/eid2605.200146

中图分类号：

R392 [医学免疫学]; Q939.91 [免疫学];

学科分类号：

100102 ;

摘要：

On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.

引用

页码：1049 / 1052

页数：4

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