Operating rule optimization for Missouri River reservoir system

This paper describes the application of deterministic optimization to the main stem Missouri River reservoir system and the development and testing of inferred optimal operating rules from these model results. An implicit stochastic optimization approach is taken and tested using a simplified simulation model. This work illustrates the applicability and limitations of applying deterministic optimization to development of strategic operating rules for large-scale water resource systems. For this multipurpose multireservoir system, simple data display and simulation modeling are found to be superior to classical regression techniques for inferring and refining promising operating rules from deterministic optimization results.