Application of an innovative combined forecasting method in power system load forecasting

被引：52

作者：

Chen, GJ ^{[1
]}

Li, KK ^{[1
]}

Chung, TS ^{[1
]}

Sun, HB ^{[1
]}

Tang, GQ ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Southeast Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China

来源：

ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH | 2001年 / 59卷 / 02期

关键词：

combined forecasting method; load forecast; evolutionary programming; fuzzy comprehensive evaluation;

D O I：

10.1016/S0378-7796(01)00137-7

中图分类号：

TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];

学科分类号：

0808 ; 0809 ;

摘要：

To fully integrate the advantages of several forecasting models and improve the accuracy of load forecast results, the application of the combined forecasting method to power system load forecasting is introduced in this paper. The evolutionary programming and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation methods are employed to deduce the weight coefficients of each model. Practical cases are studied using the two methods and tested to be feasible and effective. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science BN. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：131 / 137

页数：7