Commentary on Ferguson, et al., "Impact of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID-19 Mortality and Healthcare Demand"

被引：1423

作者：

Eubank, S. ^{[1
,2
]}

Eckstrand, I ^{[1
]}

Lewis, B. ^{[1
]}

Venkatramanan, S. ^{[1
]}

Marathe, M. ^{[1
,3
]}

Barrett, C. L. ^{[1
,3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Virginia, Biocomplex Inst & Initiat, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA

[2] Univ Virginia, Dept Publ Hlth Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA

[3] Univ Virginia, Dept Comp Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA

来源：

BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY | 2020年 / 82卷 / 04期

关键词：

Epidemiology; COVID-19; Non-pharmaceutical intervention; Compartmental model; MATHEMATICAL-MODELS; INFLUENZA; SMALLPOX;

D O I：

10.1007/s11538-020-00726-x

中图分类号：

Q [生物科学];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

A recent manuscript (Ferguson et al. in Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand, Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, London, 2020. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf) from Imperial College modelers examining ways to mitigate and control the spread of COVID-19 has attracted much attention. In this paper, we will discuss a coarse taxonomy of models and explore the context and significance of the Imperial College and other models in contributing to the analysis of COVID-19.

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