Does anything beat 5-minute RV? A comparison of realized measures across multiple asset classes

被引:365
作者
Liu, Lily Y. [1 ]
Patton, Andrew J. [1 ]
Sheppard, Kevin [2 ]
机构
[1] Duke Univ, Durham, NC 27708 USA
[2] Univ Oxford, New York, NY USA
关键词
Realized variance; Volatility forecasting; High frequency data; MARKET MICROSTRUCTURE NOISE; RANGE-BASED ESTIMATION; HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA; INTEGRATED VOLATILITY; EFFICIENT ESTIMATION; VARIANCE; MODELS; AUTOCORRELATION; KERNELS; ERRORS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.008
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We study the accuracy of a variety of estimators of asset price variation constructed from high-frequency data ("realized measures"), and compare them with a simple "realized variance" (RV) estimator. In total, we consider over 400 different estimators, using 11 years of data on 31 different financial assets spanning five asset classes. When 5-minute RV is taken as the benchmark, we find little evidence that it is outperformed by any other measures. When using inference methods that do not require specifying a benchmark, we find some evidence that more sophisticated measures outperform. Overall, we conclude that it is difficult to significantly beat 5-minute RV. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
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页码:293 / 311
页数:19
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