Restructuring risk in credit default swaps: An empirical analysis

被引:20
作者
Berndt, Antje [1 ]
Jarrow, Robert A. [2 ]
Kang, ChoongOh [3 ]
机构
[1] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Tepper Sch Business, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
[2] Cornell Univ, Johnson Grad Sch Management, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
[3] Cornell Univ, Dept Econ, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
关键词
credit default swaps; restructuring credit event; reduced-form credit risk modeling;
D O I
10.1016/j.spa.2007.01.013
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This paper estimates the price for restructuring risk in the US corporate bond market during 1999-2005. Comparing quotes from default swap (CDS) contracts with a restructuring event and without, we find that the average premium for restructuring risk represents 6%-8% of the swap rate without restructuring. We show that the restructuring premium depends on firm-specific balance-sheet and macroeconomic variables. And, when default swap rates without a restructuring event increase, the increase in restructuring premia is higher for low-credit-quality firms than for high-credit-quality firms. We propose a reduced-form arbitrage-free model for pricing default swaps that explicitly incorporates the distinction between restructuring and default events. A case study illustrating the model's implementation is provided. (C) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1724 / 1749
页数:26
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