Modelling private car energy demand using a technological car stock model

被引：30

作者：

Daly, Hannah ^{[1
]}

Gallachoir, Brian P. O.

机构：

[1] Univ Coll Cork, Sustainable Energy Res Grp, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Cork, Ireland

来源：

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT | 2011年 / 16卷 / 02期

关键词：

Private car ownership; Transport energy use; CO2; emissions;

D O I：

10.1016/j.trd.2010.08.009

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

A technological stock model of private car energy demand is built, using as explanatory variables, fleet structure, the profile of activity, and fleet efficiency. Disaggregating the three variables by vehicle technology and age produces a detailed profile of private car activity and energy consumption, giving accurate energy calculations and allowing detection of the technological drivers of energy consumption. Methods for calculating fleet on-road energy efficiency in terms of an "on-road factor" are developed. The methodology is applied in an Irish case study and results show a 37% increase in private car energy demand between 2000 and 2008, and that driving this increase was a growth in diesel and larger engine activity and the ageing of the fleet. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：93 / 101

页数：9

共 15 条

[1]

Andre M., 2006, INRETSLTE0607

[2]

[Anonymous], HOUS BUDG SURV 2004

[3]

Casey E., 2009, P 3 ENV TRANSP 17 TR

[4] The effect of standards and fuel prices on automobile fuel economy: An international analysis [J].

Clerides, Sofronis ;

Zachariadis, Theodoros .

ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2008, 30 (05) :2657-2672

[5]

Environmental Protection Agency, 2009, IR GREENH GAS EM PRO

[6]

Howley M., 2009, ENERGY TRANSPORT

[7] Profiling road transport activity: Emissions from 2000 to 2005 in Ireland using national car test data [J].

Kelly, J. Andrew ;

Ryan, Lisa ;

Casey, Edward ;

O'Riordan, Niall .

TRANSPORT POLICY, 2009, 16 (04) :183-192

[8] The determinants of the changes in car fuel efficiency in Great Britain (1978-2000) [J].

Kwon, TH .

ENERGY POLICY, 2006, 34 (15) :2405-2412

[9] How private car purchasing trends offset efficiency gains and the successful energy policy response [J].

O Gallachoir, Brian P. ;

Howley, Martin ;

Cunningham, Stephen ;

Bazilian, Morgan .

ENERGY POLICY, 2009, 37 (10) :3790-3802

[10] CO2 emissions from passenger transport - A comparison of international trends from 1973 to 1992 [J].

Scholl, L ;

Schipper, L ;

Kiang, N .

ENERGY POLICY, 1996, 24 (01) :17-30

← 1 2 →