Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment

被引:2175
作者
Webster, PJ [1 ]
Holland, GJ
Curry, JA
Chang, HR
机构
[1] Georgia Inst Technol, Sch Earth & Atmospher Sci, Atlanta, GA 30332 USA
[2] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.1116448
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We examined the number of tropical cyclones and cyclone days as well as tropical cyclone intensity over the past 35 years, in an environment of increasing sea surface temperature. A large increase was seen in the number and proportion of hurricanes reaching categories 4 and 5. The largest increase occurred in the North Pacific, Indian, and Southwest Pacific Oceans, and the smallest percentage increase occurred in the North Atlantic Ocean. These increases have taken place while the number of cyclones and cyclone days has decreased in all basins except the North Atlantic during the past decade.
引用
收藏
页码:1844 / 1846
页数:3
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