A simple variable selection technique for nonlinear models

被引:24
作者
Rech, G
Teräsvirta, T
Tschernig, R
机构
[1] Stockholm Sch Econ, Dept Econ Stat, SE-11383 Stockholm, Sweden
[2] Humboldt Univ, Inst Stat & Okon, D-10178 Berlin, Germany
关键词
autoregression; nonlinear regression; nonlinear time series; nonparametric variable selection; time series modelling;
D O I
10.1081/STA-100104360
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Applying nonparametric variable selection criteria in nonlinear regression models generally requires a substantial computational effort if the data set is large. In this paper we present a selection technique that is computationally much less demanding and performs well in comparison with methods currently available. It is based on a polynomial approximation of the nonlinear model. Performing the selection only requires repeated least squares estimation of models that are linear in parameters. The main limitation of the method is that the number of variables among which to select cannot be very large if the sample is small and the order of an adequate polynomial at the same time is high. Large samples can be handled without problems.
引用
收藏
页码:1227 / 1241
页数:15
相关论文
共 18 条
[1]   FITTING AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS FOR PREDICTION [J].
AKAIKE, H .
ANNALS OF THE INSTITUTE OF STATISTICAL MATHEMATICS, 1969, 21 (02) :243-&
[2]   NEW LOOK AT STATISTICAL-MODEL IDENTIFICATION [J].
AKAIKE, H .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON AUTOMATIC CONTROL, 1974, AC19 (06) :716-723
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1993, J. Time Ser. Anal., DOI DOI 10.1111/J.1467-9892.1993.TB00139.X
[4]  
AUESTAD B, 1990, BIOMETRIKA, V77, P669, DOI 10.2307/2337091
[5]  
Judge G. G., 1985, The Theory and Practice of Econometrics, V2nd
[6]  
PRIESTLEY MB, 1981, SPECTRAL ANAL TIME S, V1
[7]   MODELING BY SHORTEST DATA DESCRIPTION [J].
RISSANEN, J .
AUTOMATICA, 1978, 14 (05) :465-471
[8]  
Royden H.L., 1963, Real Analysis
[9]   ESTIMATING DIMENSION OF A MODEL [J].
SCHWARZ, G .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1978, 6 (02) :461-464
[10]  
Silverman B.W., 1986, Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability, DOI [10.1201/9781315140919, 10.2307/2347507, DOI 10.2307/2347507]