Fractional integration and structural breaks at unknown periods of time

被引:176
作者
Gil-Alana, Luis A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Navarra, Fac Ciencias Econ, Dept Econ, E-31080 Pamplona, Spain
关键词
fractional integration; long memory; deterministic trends; structural change;
D O I
10.1111/j.1467-9892.2007.00550.x
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
This article deals with the analysis of structural breaks in the context of fractionally integrated models. We assume that the break dates are unknown and that the different sub-samples possess different intercepts, slope coefficients and fractional orders of integration. The procedure is based on linear regression models using a grid of values for the fractional differencing parameters and least squares estimation. Several Monte Carlo experiments conducted across the study show that the procedure performs well if the sample size is large enough. Two empirical applications are described at the end of the article.
引用
收藏
页码:163 / 185
页数:23
相关论文
共 21 条
[1]   Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes [J].
Bai, JS ;
Perron, P .
ECONOMETRICA, 1998, 66 (01) :47-78
[2]   RECURSIVE AND SEQUENTIAL-TESTS OF THE UNIT-ROOT AND TREND-BREAK HYPOTHESES - THEORY AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE [J].
BANERJEE, A ;
LUMSDAINE, RL ;
STOCK, JH .
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 1992, 10 (03) :271-287
[3]   Testing for a change of the long-memory parameter [J].
Beran, J ;
Terrin, N .
BIOMETRIKA, 1996, 83 (03) :627-638
[4]   EXPONENTIAL MODEL FOR SPECTRUM OF A SCALAR TIME SERIES [J].
BLOOMFIELD, P .
BIOMETRIKA, 1973, 60 (02) :217-226
[5]   Inflation, forecast intervals and long memory regression models [J].
Bos, CS ;
Franses, PH ;
Ooms, M .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2002, 18 (02) :243-264
[6]   SEARCHING FOR A BREAK IN GNP [J].
CHRISTIANO, LJ .
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 1992, 10 (03) :237-250
[7]   Long memory and regime switching [J].
Diebold, FX ;
Inoue, A .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2001, 105 (01) :131-159
[8]   Stochastic permanent breaks [J].
Engle, RF ;
Smith, AD .
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 1999, 81 (04) :553-574
[9]   Testing of unit root and other nonstationary hypotheses in macroeconomic time series [J].
GilAlana, LA ;
Robinson, PM .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1997, 80 (02) :241-268
[10]  
GILALANA LA, 2003, EMPIR ECON, V28, P101