Econometrics and presidential elections

被引：75

作者：

Fair, RC

机构：

[1] Department of Economics, Yale University, New Haven, CT

来源：

JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES | 1996年 / 10卷 / 03期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1257/jep.10.3.89

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This paper discusses an econometric equation that explains votes for president as a function of economic events and incumbency information. The history of the equation is reviewed, the update after the 1992 election is discussed, and a prediction for the 1996 election is made conditional on an economic forecast.

引用

页码：89 / 102

页数：14

共 15 条

[1] AN IMPROVED MODEL FOR PREDICTING PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION OUTCOMES [J].