Electric load forecasting by using dynamic neural network

被引:103
作者
Mordjaoui, Mourad [1 ]
Haddad, Salim [2 ]
Medoued, Ammar [3 ]
Laouafi, Abderrezak [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ 20 Aout 1955 Skikda, LRPCSI Lab, BP 26 El Hadaiek, Skikda 21000, Algeria
[2] Univ 20 Aout 1955 Skikda, LGMM Lab, BP 26 El Hadaiek, Skikda 21000, Algeria
[3] Univ 20 Aout 1955 Skikda, LES Lab, BP 26 El Hadaiek, Skikda 21000, Algeria
关键词
Short-term; Load forecasting; Artificial intelligence approaches; Dynamic neural networks;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijhydene.2017.03.101
中图分类号
O64 [物理化学(理论化学)、化学物理学];
学科分类号
070305 [高分子化学与物理];
摘要
Electrical energy is fundamental for the wellbeing and for the economic development of any country. However, all countries must ensure access to essential resources and ensure the continuity of its supply. Due to the non-storable nature of electrical energy, the amount of consumed active power should always be equal the produced active power just to avoid power system frequency deviation problem. In order to keep the relationship production consumption relation in compliance with different standards and to secure profitable operations of power system, electric load consumption must be predicted and controlled instantaneously. Several statistical and classical techniques are proposed in the literature but unfortunately all these methods are not accurate in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, a dynamic neural network is used for the prediction of daily power consumption. The suitability and the performance of the proposed approach is illustrated and verified with simulations on load data collected from French Transmission System Operator (RTE) website. The obtained results show that the accuracy and the efficiency are improved comparatively to conventional methods widely used in this field of research. (C) 2017 Hydrogen Energy Publications LLC. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:17655 / 17663
页数:9
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