The end of model democracy?

被引：366

作者：

Knutti, Reto ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland

来源：

CLIMATIC CHANGE | 2010年 / 102卷 / 3-4期

关键词：

REGIONAL CLIMATE-CHANGE; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL; QUANTIFYING UNCERTAINTY; MULTIMODEL ENSEMBLES; TEMPERATURE; PREDICTIONS; PROJECTIONS; FORECASTS; RELIABILITY; FEEDBACK;

D O I：

10.1007/s10584-010-9800-2

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

[No abstract available]

引用

页码：395 / 404

页数：10

共 64 条

[1] Parameter estimation in an intermediate complexity earth system model using an ensemble Kalman filter [J].

Annan, JD ;

Hargreaves, JC ;

Edwards, NR ;

Marsh, R .

OCEAN MODELLING, 2005, 8 (1-2) :135-154

[2]

[Anonymous], J CLIM IN PRESS

[3]

[Anonymous], 2006, Foundation of science, DOI [10.1007/s10699-005-3196-x, DOI 10.1007/S10699-005-3196-X]

[4]

[Anonymous], CLIM CHANGE IN PRESS

[5]

[Anonymous], CLIM CHANG 2007

[6] September sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean projected to vanish by 2100 [J].

Boe, Julien ;

Hall, Alex ;

Qu, Xin .

NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2009, 2 (05) :341-343

[7] How well do we understand and evaluate climate change feedback processes? [J].

Bony, Sandrine ;

Colman, Robert ;

Kattsov, Vladimir M. ;

Allan, Richard P. ;

Bretherton, Christopher S. ;

Dufresne, Jean-Louis ;

Hall, Alex ;

Hallegatte, Stephane ;

Holland, Marika M. ;

Ingram, William ;

Randall, David A. ;

Soden, Brian J. ;

Tselioudis, George ;

Webb, Mark J. .

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2006, 19 (15) :3445-3482

[8] Seasonal weather forecasts for crop yield modelling in Europe [J].

Cantelaube, P ;

Terres, JM .

TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, 2005, 57 (03) :476-487

[9]

Dessai S., 2009, Eos, V90, P111, DOI DOI 10.1029/2009EO130003

[10] The skill of multi-model seasonal forecasts of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation [J].

Doblas-Reyes, FJ ;

Pavan, V ;

Stephenson, DB .

CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2003, 21 (5-6) :501-514

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 →