ASYMPTOTIC NORMALITY AND VALID INFERENCE FOR GAUSSIAN VARIATIONAL APPROXIMATION

被引:31
作者
Hall, Peter [1 ]
Tung Pham [2 ]
Wand, M. P. [3 ]
Wang, S. S. J. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Melbourne, Dept Math & Stat, Melbourne, Vic 3000, Australia
[2] Univ Wollongong, Sch Math & Appl Stat, Ctr Stat & Survey Methodol, Wollongong, NSW 2522, Australia
[3] Univ Technol Sydney, Sch Math Sci, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia
基金
澳大利亚研究理事会;
关键词
Generalized linear mixed models; longitudinal data analysis; maximum likelihood estimation; Poisson mixed models; BAYES;
D O I
10.1214/11-AOS908
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical properties of a variational approximation method. Moreover, they give rise to asymptotically valid statistical inference. A simulation study demonstrates that Gaussian variational approximate confidence intervals possess good to excellent coverage properties, and have a similar precision to their exact likelihood counterparts.
引用
收藏
页码:2502 / 2532
页数:31
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