Simple models for multiattribute choice with many alternatives: When it does and does not pay to face trade-offs with binary attributes

被引:77
作者
Hogarth, RM [1 ]
Karelaia, N
机构
[1] ICREA, Barcelona 08005, Spain
[2] Univ Pompea Fabra, DEE, Barcelona 08005, Spain
[3] Univ Lausanne, HEC, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
关键词
decision making; bounded rationality; lexicographic rules; choice theory;
D O I
10.1287/mnsc.1050.0448
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Given the difficulties people experience in making trade-offs, what are the consequences of using simple models that avoid trade-offs? We examine choices by such models in environments where "true" preferences are linear and attributes are characterized by binary attributes. A deterministic elimination-by-aspects (DEBA) model is highly effective over a range of conditions. When preferences are quite compensatory, however, a modified equal weighting (EW) model that uses DEBA to resolve ties is more effective. We explore the sensitivity of results to errors in using DEBA, to different distributions of alternatives, and to error in "true" preferences. Under the conditions examined here, the outcomes of these "boundedly rational" models are highly consistent with "rational" models that explicitly confront trade-offs. We emphasize the importance of binary attributes in reaching these conclusions.
引用
收藏
页码:1860 / 1872
页数:13
相关论文
共 36 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], JUDGEMENT CHOICE
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1999, Simple heuristics that make us smart
[3]  
BAUCELLS M, 2005, 895 DEE U POMP FABR
[4]   Assessing the empirical validity of the "Take-The-Best' heuristic as a model of human probabilistic inference [J].
Bröder, A .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-LEARNING MEMORY AND COGNITION, 2000, 26 (05) :1332-1346
[5]   Decision making with the "adaptive toolbox":: Influence of environmental structure, intelligence, and working memory load [J].
Bröder, A .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-LEARNING MEMORY AND COGNITION, 2003, 29 (04) :611-625
[6]   Take the best versus simultaneous feature matching:: Probabilistic inferences from memory and effects of representation format [J].
Bröder, A ;
Schiffer, S .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-GENERAL, 2003, 132 (02) :277-293
[7]  
Brunswik E., 1952, CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
[8]   Fast, frugal, and rational: How rational norms explain behavior [J].
Chater, N ;
Oaksford, M ;
Nakisa, R ;
Redington, M .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES, 2003, 90 (01) :63-86
[9]   LINEAR-MODELS IN DECISION-MAKING [J].
DAWES, RM ;
CORRIGAN, B .
PSYCHOLOGICAL BULLETIN, 1974, 81 (02) :95-106
[10]   CONFIDENCE IN JUDGMENT - PERSISTENCE OF ILLUSION OF VALIDITY [J].
EINHORN, HJ ;
HOGARTH, RM .
PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1978, 85 (05) :395-416