Risk analysis and decision theory: A bridge

被引:39
作者
Borgonovo, E. [1 ,2 ]
Cappelli, V. [3 ]
Maccheroni, F. [1 ,2 ]
Marinacci, M. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Bocconi Univ, Dept Decis Sci, Milan, Italy
[2] Bocconi Univ, IGIER, Milan, Italy
[3] HEC Paris, Dept Econ & Decis Sci, Jouy En Josas, France
关键词
Decision analysis; Risk analysis; Decision theory; Epistemic uncertainty; EXPECTED UTILITY; COHERENT MEASURES; SUBJECTIVE-PROBABILITY; PROSPECT-THEORY; UNCERTAINTY; AMBIGUITY; OPTIMIZATION; MODEL; CONSTRAINTS; AVERSION;
D O I
10.1016/j.ejor.2017.06.059
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
The risk-triplet approach pioneered by Kaplan and Garrick is the keystone of operational risk analysis. We perform a sharp embedding of the elements of this framework into the one of formal decision theory, which is mainly concerned with the methodological and modeling issues of decision making. The aim of this exercise is twofold: on the one hand, it gives operational risk analysis a direct access to the rich toolbox that decision theory has developed, in the last decades, in order to deal with complex layers of uncertainty; on the other, it exposes decision theory to the challenges of operational risk analysis, thus providing it with broader scope and new stimuli. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:280 / 293
页数:14
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