Multidimensional uncertainty and herd behavior in financial markets

被引:85
作者
Avery, C [1 ]
Zemsky, P
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Sch Govt, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[2] INSEAD, F-77305 Fontainebleau, France
关键词
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We study the relationship between asset prices and herd behavior, which occurs when traders follow the trend in past trades. When traders have private information on only a single dimension of uncertainty (the effect of a shock to the asset value), price adjustments prevent herd behavior. Herding arises when there are two dimensions of uncertainty (the existence and effect of a shock), but it need not distort prices because the market discounts the informativeness of trades during herding. With a third dimension of uncertainty (the quality of traders' information), herd behavior can lead to a significant, short-run mispricing.(JEL G12, G14, D83, D84).
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页码:724 / 748
页数:25
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