A model for determination of motor vehicle emission factors from on-road measurements with a focus on submicrometer particles

The multiplicity of parameters that influence traffic-related emissions and that are often very difficult to measure or predict, makes the assessment of traffic emissions a very complicated process, strongly dependent on local conditions and usually associated with a high degree of error. The aim of this paper was to develop, calibrate and test a simple model for 'on-road' measurements of traffic emission factors as part of a major program focussed on the assessment of traffic contribution to fine and ultrafine emissions to the whole air shed and to local areas in south-east Queensland, Australia. A mathematical model developed was based on the mass balance concept for on-road assessment of traffic-related emission rates. The model requires fewer experimental data points as input and is more applicable to the common on-road testing situation, when no more than two monitors of a specific pollutant can be used. The model was tested and calibrated using experimental data on particle number concentration collected at a road-monitoring site using the scanning mobility particle sizer, and was applied to assess the emission factors of submicrometer particles emitted by traffic. The average emission factor obtained using the box model and the experimental data from road measurements was 1.75 x 10(14) particles km(-1) vehicle(-1), with a standard error of 67.6%. While the emission factor obtained was comparable with some results obtained from dynamometer studies and applied to the vehicle mix at the sampling site, they were significantly higher than the factors reported by other studies. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.