Delay and dynamics in labor market adjustment:: Simulation results

被引:16
作者
Artuc, Erhan [1 ]
Chaudhuri, Shubham [2 ]
McLaren, John [3 ]
机构
[1] Koc Univ, TR-34450 Istanbul, Turkey
[2] World Bank, E Asia & Pacific Poverty Reduct & Econ Management, Washington, DC 20433 USA
[3] Univ Virginia, Dept Econ, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
labor mobility; gross flows; net flows; gradualism; trade shocks; trade liberalization;
D O I
10.1016/j.jinteco.2007.11.003
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We simulate numerically a trade model with labor mobility costs added, modeled in such a way as to generate gross flows in excess of net flows. Adjustment to a trade shock can be slow with plausible parameter values. In our base case, the economy moves 95% of the distance to the new steady state in approximately eight years. Gross flows have a large effect on this rate of adjustment and on the normative effects of trade. Announcing and delaying the liberalization can build - or destroy - a constituency for free trade. We study the conditions under which these contrasting outcomes occur. (C) 2007 Elsevier B.V All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 13
页数:13
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