Scale-free network of a dengue epidemic

被引:34
作者
Massad, Eduardo [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Ma, Stefen [4 ]
Chen, Mark [5 ]
Struchiner, Claudio Jose
Stollenwerk, Nico [6 ]
Aguiar, Maira
机构
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Sch Med, BR-05405000 Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
[2] Univ London, London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, London, England
[3] Natl Univ Singapore, Singapore 117548, Singapore
[4] Epidemiol & Dis Control Div, Minist Educ, Singapore, Singapore
[5] Tan Tock Seng Hosp, Communicable Dis Ctr, Singapore, Singapore
[6] Univ Porto, Fac Ciencias, Ctr Math, P-4100 Oporto, Portugal
关键词
power-law; scale-free network; dengue; Singapore;
D O I
10.1016/j.amc.2007.04.102
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
In this work we show that the dengue epidemic in the city of Singapore organized itself into a scale-free network of transmission as the 2000-2005 outbreaks progressed. This scale-free network of cluster comprised geographical breeding places for the aedes mosquitoes, acting as super-spreaders nodes in a network of transmission. The geographical organization of the network was analysed by the corresponding distribution of weekly number of new cases. Therefore, our hypothesis is that the distribution of dengue cases reflects the geographical organization of a transmission network, which evolved towards a power law as the epidemic intensity progressed until 2005. (c) 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:376 / 381
页数:6
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