The number of subjects per variable required in linear regression analyses

被引:757
作者
Austin, Peter C. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Steyerberg, Ewout W. [4 ]
机构
[1] Inst Clin Evaluat Sci, Toronto, ON M4N 3M5, Canada
[2] Univ Toronto, Inst Hlth Policy Management & Evaluat, Toronto, ON M5T 3M6, Canada
[3] Sunnybrook Res Inst, Schulich Heart Res Program, Toronto, ON M4N 3M5, Canada
[4] Erasmus MC Univ Med Ctr Rotterdam, Dept Publ Hlth, NL-2035 CE Rotterdam, Netherlands
基金
加拿大健康研究院;
关键词
Regression; Linear regression; Bias; Monte Carlo simulations; Explained variation; Statistical methods; EVENTS; SIMULATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.jclinepi.2014.12.014
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Objectives: To determine the number of independent variables that can be included in a linear regression model. Study Design and Setting: We used a series of Monte Carlo simulations to examine the impact of the number of subjects per variable (SPY) on the accuracy of estimated regression coefficients and standard errors, on the empirical coverage of estimated confidence intervals, and on the accuracy of the estimated R-2 of the fitted model. Results: A minimum of approximately two SPV tended to result in estimation of regression coefficients with relative bias of less than 10%. Furthermore, with this minimum number of SPY, the standard errors of the regression coefficients were accurately estimated and estimated confidence intervals had approximately the advertised coverage rates. A much higher number of SPV were necessary to minimize bias in estimating the model R-2, although adjusted R-2 estimates behaved well. The bias in estimating the model R-2 statistic was inversely proportional to the magnitude of the proportion of variation explained by the population regression model. Conclusion: Linear regression models require only two SPV for adequate estimation of regression coefficients, standard errors, and confidence intervals. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc.
引用
收藏
页码:627 / 636
页数:10
相关论文
共 16 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1990, Classical and modern regression with applications
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2004, QUALITY CARDIAC CARE
[3]   A substantial and confusing variation exists in handling of baseline covariates in randomized controlled trials: a review of trials published in leading medical journals [J].
Austin, Peter C. ;
Manca, Andrea ;
Zwarenstein, Merrick ;
Juurlink, David N. ;
Stanbrook, Matthew B. .
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, 2010, 63 (02) :142-153
[4]   What you see may not be what you get: A brief, nontechnical introduction to overfitting in regression-type models [J].
Babyak, MA .
PSYCHOSOMATIC MEDICINE, 2004, 66 (03) :411-421
[5]   Performance of logistic regression modeling: beyond the number of events per variable, the role of data structure [J].
Courvoisier, Delphine S. ;
Combescure, Christophe ;
Agoritsas, Thomas ;
Gayet-Ageron, Angele ;
Perneger, Thomas V. .
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, 2011, 64 (09) :993-1000
[6]   HOW MANY SUBJECTS DOES IT TAKE TO DO A REGRESSION-ANALYSIS [J].
GREEN, SB .
MULTIVARIATE BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH, 1991, 26 (03) :499-510
[7]  
Harrell FE, 2001, REGRESSION MODELING, DOI DOI 10.1007/978-1-4757-3462-1
[8]  
Hastie T., 2009, The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction
[9]   Importance of events per independent variable in proportional hazards regression analysis .2. Accuracy and precision of regression estimates [J].
Peduzzi, P ;
Concato, J ;
Feinstein, AR ;
Holford, TR .
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, 1995, 48 (12) :1503-1510
[10]   A simulation study of the number of events per variable in logistic regression analysis [J].
Peduzzi, P ;
Concato, J ;
Kemper, E ;
Holford, TR ;
Feinstein, AR .
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, 1996, 49 (12) :1373-1379