The eradication of balsam fir stands by white-tailed deer on Anticosti Island, Quebec:: A 150-year process

White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) were introduced 100 y ago on Anticosti, a 7,943-km(2) island located in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, Quebec. The forest of the island is typically boreal and, at the time of the introduction, was dominated by balsam fir (Abies balsamea), white spruce (Picea glauca), and black spruce (P. mariana). Since then, the vegetation has been modified as a result of high deer density (16 deer.km(-2)) and heavy browsing. The most important change is the progressive decline of balsam fir stands, formerly the prevalent forest type. We describe that process at three spatial and time scales. On the largest scale (whole island, 100 y), we examined the age and species composition of stands on recent forest maps as well as the age structure of 2,555 individual balsam fir and white spruce trees. Balsam fir was largely dominant before 1930, but was replaced by white spruce afterwards. We also estimated that fir stands, which now cover 20% of the island, occupied about 40% of the total area initially. On an intermediate scale (1,200 km(2), 30 y), we examined the natural regeneration established after an insect outbreak that took place in 1971-1972 and massively killed predominantly balsam fir forests. In that area, white spruce regeneration now largely replaces that of balsam fir. On a finer scale (< 1 km(2), 3 y), we monitored 1,800 balsam fir seedlings (2-5 cm high) individually tagged. Seedlings were browsed throughout the snow-free season, and the annual browsing incidence in forest was estimated at 26%. Considering the present age of remnant fir stands, we estimate that most of these will have been eradicated in 40-50 y.