The FLASH Project: using lightning data to better understand and predict flash floods

被引:26
作者
Price, C. [1 ]
Yair, Y. [2 ]
Mugnai, A. [3 ]
Lagouvardos, K. [4 ]
Llasat, M. C. [5 ]
Michaelides, S. [6 ]
Dayan, U. [7 ]
Dietrich, S. [3 ]
Galanti, E. [1 ]
Garrote, L. [8 ]
Harats, N. [7 ]
Katsanos, D. [4 ]
Kohn, M. [1 ]
Kotroni, V. [4 ]
Llasat-Botija, M. [5 ]
Lynn, B. [2 ,7 ]
Mediero, L. [8 ]
Morin, E. [7 ]
Nicolaides, K. [6 ]
Rozalis, S. [1 ]
Savvidou, K. [6 ]
Ziv, B. [2 ]
机构
[1] Tel Aviv Univ, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
[2] Open Univ Israel, Raanana, Israel
[3] ISAC, Natl Res Council, Rome, Italy
[4] Natl Observ Athens, Athens, Greece
[5] Univ Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
[6] Cyprus Meteorol Serv, Nicosia, Cyprus
[7] Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, IL-91905 Jerusalem, Israel
[8] Tech Univ Madrid, Madrid, Spain
关键词
Flash flood; Lightning; Thunderstorms; FLASH; Climate change; DATA ASSIMILATION; MODEL; PARAMETERIZATION; EVOLUTION;
D O I
10.1016/j.envsci.2011.03.004
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The FLASH project was implemented from 2006 to 2010 under the EU FP6 framework. The project focused on using lightning observations to better understand and predict convective storms that result in flash floods. As part of the project 23 case studies of flash floods in the Mediterranean region were examined. For the analysis of these storms lightning data from the ZEUS network were used together with satellite derived rainfall estimates in order to understand the storm development and electrification. In addition, these case studies were simulated using mesoscale meteorological models to better understand the meteorological and synoptic conditions leading up to these intense storms. As part of this project tools for short term predictions (nowcasts) of intense convection across the Mediterranean and Europe, and long term forecasts (a few days) of the likelihood of intense convection were developed. The project also focused on educational outreach through our website http://flashproject.org supplying real time lightning observations, real time experimental nowcasts, forecasts and educational materials. While flash floods and intense thunderstorms cannot be prevented as the climate changes, long-range regional lightning networks can supply valuable data, in real time, for warning end-users and stakeholders of imminent intense rainfall and possible flash floods. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:898 / 911
页数:14
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