Contribution potential of glaciers to water availability in different climate regimes

被引:523
作者
Kaser, Georg [1 ]
Grosshauser, Martin [1 ]
Marzeion, Ben [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Innsbruck, Inst Geog, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria
基金
奥地利科学基金会;
关键词
CORDILLERA BLANCA; RUNOFF; DISCHARGE; BASINS;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.1008162107
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Although reliable figures are often missing, considerable detrimental changes due to shrinking glaciers are universally expected for water availability in river systems under the influence of ongoing global climate change. We estimate the contribution potential of seasonally delayed glacier melt water to total water availability in large river systems. We find that the seasonally delayed glacier contribution is largest where rivers enter seasonally arid regions and negligible in the lowlands of river basins governed by monsoon climates. By comparing monthly glacier melt contributions with population densities in different altitude bands within each river basin, we demonstrate that strong human dependence on glacier melt is not collocated with highest population densities in most basins.
引用
收藏
页码:20223 / 20227
页数:5
相关论文
共 26 条
  • [1] [Anonymous], 2007, EC CLIMATE
  • [2] Response of Hofsjokull and southern Vatnajokull, Iceland, to climate change
    Aoalgeirsdottir, G.
    Johannesson, T.
    Bjoernsson, H.
    Palsson, F.
    Sigurosson, O.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-EARTH SURFACE, 2006, 111 (F3)
  • [3] Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions
    Barnett, TP
    Adam, JC
    Lettenmaier, DP
    [J]. NATURE, 2005, 438 (7066) : 303 - 309
  • [4] A more complete version of the World Glacier Inventory
    Cogley, J. Graham
    [J]. ANNALS OF GLACIOLOGY, 2009, 50 (53) : 32 - 38
  • [5] Climatic warming, glacier recession and runoff from Alpine basins after the Little Ice Age maximum
    Collins, David N.
    [J]. ANNALS OF GLACIOLOGY, VOL 48, 2008, 48 : 119 - 124
  • [6] Cruz RV, 2007, AR4 CLIMATE CHANGE 2007: IMPACTS, ADAPTATION, AND VULNERABILITY, P469
  • [7] Modelling of hydrological response to climate change in glacierized Central Asian catchments
    Hagg, W.
    Braun, L. N.
    Kuhn, M.
    Nesgaard, T. I.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2007, 332 (1-2) : 40 - 53
  • [8] Modelling runoff from highly glacierized alpine drainage basins in a changing climate
    Huss, Matthias
    Farinotti, Daniel
    Bauder, Andreas
    Funk, Martin
    [J]. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2008, 22 (19) : 3888 - 3902
  • [9] Climate Change Will Affect the Asian Water Towers
    Immerzeel, Walter W.
    van Beek, Ludovicus P. H.
    Bierkens, Marc F. P.
    [J]. SCIENCE, 2010, 328 (5984) : 1382 - 1385
  • [10] The concept of glacier storage: a review
    Jansson, P
    Hock, R
    Schneider, T
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2003, 282 (1-4) : 116 - 129