OVER 5,000 YEARS OF ENSEMBLE FUTURE CLIMATE SIMULATIONS BY 60-KM GLOBAL AND 20-KM REGIONAL ATMOSPHERIC MODELS

被引：270

作者：

Mizuta, Ryo ^{[1
]}

Murata, Akihiko ^{[1
]}

Ishii, Masayoshi ^{[1
]}

Shiogama, Hideo ^{[2
]}

Hibino, Kenshi ^{[3
]}

Mori, Nobuhito ^{[4
,5
]}

Arakawa, Osamu ^{[3
]}

Imada, Yukiko ^{[1
]}

Yoshida, Kohei ^{[1
]}

Aoyagi, Toshinori ^{[1
]}

Kawase, Hiroaki ^{[1
]}

Mori, Masato

Okada, Yasuko ^{[4
]}

Shimura, Tomoya ^{[4
]}

Nagatomo, Toshiharu ^{[3
]}

Ikeda, Mikiko ^{[6
]}

Endo, Hirokazu ^{[1
]}

Nosaka, Masaya ^{[1
]}

Arai, Miki ^{[5
]}

Takahashi, Chiharu ^{[5
]}

Tanaka, Kenji ^{[4
]}

Takemi, Tetsuya ^{[4
]}

Tachikawa, Yasuto ^{[7
]}

Temur, Khujanazarov ^{[4
]}

Kamae, Youichi ^{[3
]}

Watanabe, Masahiro ^{[5
]}

Sasaki, Hidetaka ^{[1
]}

Kitoh, Akio ^{[3
]}

Takayabu, Izuru ^{[1
]}

Nakakita, Eiichi ^{[4
]}

Kimoto, Masahide ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

[2] Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

[3] Univ Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

[4] Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent Res Inst, Uji, Kyoto, Japan

[5] Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere & Ocean Res Inst, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan

[6] Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan

[7] Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Kyoto, Japan

来源：

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | 2017年 / 98卷 / 07期

关键词：

PRECIPITATION EXTREMES; EAST-ASIA; TEMPERATURE; PROJECTIONS; RAINFALL; RISK; WAVE;

D O I：

10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0099.1

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

An unprecedentedly large ensemble of climate simulations with high-resolution atmospheric models enables the assessment of probabilistic change by global warming in low-frequency local-scale severe events.

引用

页码：1383 / 1398

页数：16

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