Probabilistic load flow computation using the method of combined cumulants and Gram-Charlier expansion

被引:503
作者
Zhang, P [1 ]
Lee, ST [1 ]
机构
[1] Elect Power Res Inst, Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
关键词
cumulants; Gram-Charlier expansion; open access transmission and deregulated power market; power system; probabilistic load flow; probability distribution function; transmission planning;
D O I
10.1109/TPWRS.2003.818743
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
Open access transmission has created a deregulated power market and brought new challenges to system planning. This paper proposes a new method to compute a probabilistic load flow in extensive power systems for the purpose of using it as a quick screening tool to determine the major investment on improving transmission system inadequacy. This innovative method combines the concept of Cumulants and Gram-Charlier expansion theory to obtain probabilistic distribution functions of transmission line flows. It has significantly reduced the computational time while maintaining a high degree of accuracy. This enables probabilistic analysis of power flow problems to be treated objectively and allows quantitative assessment of system reliability.
引用
收藏
页码:676 / 682
页数:7
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