Is the association between temperature and mortality modified by age, gender and socio-economic status?

被引:143
作者
Yu, Weiwei [1 ,2 ]
Vaneckova, Pavia [1 ,2 ]
Mengersen, Kerrie [3 ]
Pan, Xiaochuan [4 ]
Tong, Shilu [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia
[2] Queensland Univ Technol, Inst Hlth & Biomed Innovat, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia
[3] Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia
[4] Peking Univ, Dept Environm & Occupat Hlth, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
基金
澳大利亚研究理事会; 澳大利亚国家健康与医学研究理事会;
关键词
Age; Gender; Mortality; Effect modification; Socio-economic status; Temperature; HEAT-RELATED MORTALITY; CASE-CROSSOVER ANALYSIS; HIGH AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE; EXCESS WINTER MORTALITY; CASE-ONLY ANALYSIS; AIR-POLLUTION; UNITED-STATES; CARDIOVASCULAR MORTALITY; EXTREME TEMPERATURES; EUROPEAN CITIES;
D O I
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.04.058
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Background: A number of studies have examined the relationship between high ambient temperature and mortality. Recently, concern has arisen about whether this relationship is modified by socio-demographic factors. However, data for this type of study is relatively scarce in subtropical/tropical regions where people are well accustomed to warm temperatures. Objective: To investigate whether the relationship between daily mean temperature and daily all-cause mortality is modified by age, gender and socio-economic status (SES) in Brisbane, Australia. Methods: We obtained daily mean temperature and all-cause mortality data for Brisbane, Australia during 1996-2004. A generalised additive model was fitted to assess the percentage increase in all deaths with every one degree increment above the threshold temperature. Different age, gender and SES groups were included in the model as categorical variables and their modification effects were estimated separately. Results: A total of 53,316 non-external deaths were included during the study period. There was a clear increasing trend in the harmful effect of high temperature on mortality with age. The effect estimate among women was more than 20 times that among men. We did not find an SES effect on the percent increase associated with temperature. Conclusions: The effects of high temperature on all deaths were modified by age and gender but not by SES in Brisbane. Australia. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:3513 / 3518
页数:6
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