Balancing Donor and Recipient Risk Factors in Liver Transplantation: The Value of D-MELD With Particular Reference to HCV Recipients

被引:80
作者
Avolio, A. W. [1 ,17 ]
Cillo, U. [2 ,24 ]
Salizzoni, M. [3 ,18 ]
De Carlis, L. [4 ,19 ]
Colledan, M. [5 ,22 ]
Gerunda, G. E. [6 ,23 ]
Mazzaferro, V. [7 ,25 ]
Tisone, G. [8 ,33 ]
Romagnoli, R. [3 ,18 ]
Caccamo, L. [9 ,26 ]
Rossi, M. [10 ,27 ]
Vitale, A. [2 ,24 ]
Cucchetti, A. [11 ,20 ]
Lupo, L. [12 ,35 ]
Gruttadauria, S. [13 ,21 ]
Nicolotti, N. [14 ,39 ]
Burra, P. [15 ,24 ]
Gasbarrini, A. [16 ,17 ]
Agnes, S. [1 ,17 ]
Lirosi, M. C. [17 ]
Miele, L. [17 ]
Pompili, M. [17 ]
Siciliano, M. [17 ]
Perilli, V. [17 ]
Gaspari, R. [17 ]
Castagneto, M. [17 ]
Tandoi, F. [18 ]
Mangoni, I. [19 ]
Belli, L. [19 ]
Pinna, A. D. [20 ]
Cescon, M. [20 ]
Gridelli, B. [21 ]
Li Petri, S. [21 ]
Volpes, R. [21 ]
Pinelli, D. [22 ]
Fagiuoli, S. [22 ]
Montalti, R. [23 ]
Regalia, E. [25 ]
Rossi, G. [26 ]
Antonelli, B. [26 ]
Berloco, P. [27 ]
Lai, Q. [27 ]
Risaliti, A. [28 ]
Nicolini, D. [28 ]
Valente, U. [29 ]
Gelli, M. [29 ]
Morelli, N. [29 ]
Zamboni, F. [30 ]
Tondolo, V. [30 ]
Ettorre, G. M. [31 ]
机构
[1] Catholic Univ, Gen Surg & Transplantat Unit, Dept Surg, A Gemelli Hosp, Rome, Italy
[2] Univ Padua, Hepatobiliary Surg & Liver Transplantat Unit, Dept Surg & Gastroenterol Sci, Padua, Italy
[3] Univ Turin, Gen Surg & Liver Transplantat Unit, S Giovanni Battista Hosp, Turin, Italy
[4] Osped Niguarda Ca Granda, Hepatobiliary Surg & Liver Transplantat Unit, Milan, Italy
[5] Osped Riuniti Bergamo, I-24100 Bergamo, Italy
[6] Univ Modena & Reggio Emilia, Liver & Multivisceral Transplantat Unit, Modena, Italy
[7] IRCCS Fdn, Liver Unit, Natl Canc Inst, Dept Surg, Milan, Italy
[8] Tor Vergata Univ Hosp, Gen Surg Ad Transplantat Unit, Dept Surg, Rome, Italy
[9] Maggiore Hosp, IRCCS Fdn, Gen Surg & Liver Transplantat Unit, Milan, Italy
[10] Univ Roma La Sapienza, Liver Transplantat Unit, Dept Gen Surg & Transplantat, Umberto I Hosp, Rome, Italy
[11] Univ Bologna, Liver & Multiorgan Transplantat Unit, Dept Gen Surg, S Orsola Hosp, Bologna, Italy
[12] Univ Bari, Gen Surg & Liver Transplantat Unit, Dept Emergency & Organ Transplantat, Bari, Italy
[13] IsMeTT UPMC, Palermo, Italy
[14] Catholic Univ, Epidemiol & Biostat Unit, Inst Hyg, Rome, Italy
[15] Univ Padua, Multivisceral Transplantat Unit, Dept Surg & Gastroenterol Sci, Padua, Italy
[16] Catholic Univ, Gastroenterol Unit, Dept Internal Med, Rome, Italy
[17] Catholic Univ, A Gemelli Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Rome, Italy
[18] Univ Turin, S Giovanni Battista Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Turin, Italy
[19] Osped Niguarda Ca Granda, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Milan, Italy
[20] Univ Bologna, S Orsola Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Bologna, Italy
[21] IsMeTT UPMC, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Palermo, Italy
[22] Osped Riuniti Bergamo, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Bergamo, Italy
[23] Univ Modena & Reggio Emilia, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Modena, Italy
[24] Univ Padua, Dept Surg & Gastroenterol Sci, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Padua, Italy
[25] IRCCS Fdn, Natl Canc Inst, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Milan, Italy
[26] Maggiore Hosp, IRCCS Fdn, Liver Transpantat Ctr, Milan, Italy
[27] Univ Roma La Sapienza, Umberto I Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Rome, Italy
[28] Polytech Univ Marche, Umberto I Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Ancona, Italy
[29] Univ Genoa, S Martino Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Genoa, Italy
[30] G Brotzu Univ Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Cagliari, Italy
[31] San Camillo Forlanini Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Rome, Italy
[32] Univ Udine, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Udine, Italy
[33] Tor Vergata Univ Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Rome, Italy
[34] A Cardarelli Univ Hosp, Hepatobiliary Surg Unit, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Naples, Italy
[35] Univ Bari, Dept Emergency & Organ Transplantat, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Bari, Italy
[36] A Cardarelli Univ Hosp, Laparoscop Hepatobiliary Surg Unit, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Naples, Italy
[37] Univ Verona, Maggiore Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Verona, Italy
[38] Bambino Gesu Pediat Hosp, Liver Transplantat Ctr, Rome, Italy
[39] Catholic Univ, Inst Hyg, Epidemiol & Biostat Unit, Rome, Italy
关键词
D-MELD; donor-recipient match; liver transplantation; outcome; prognosis; risk factors; HEPATITIS-C VIRUS; SURVIVAL BENEFIT; GRAFT-SURVIVAL; CENTER EXPERIENCE; PREDICT SURVIVAL; UNITED-STATES; MODEL; MORTALITY; ALLOCATION; DISEASE;
D O I
10.1111/j.1600-6143.2011.03732.x
中图分类号
R61 [外科手术学];
学科分类号
100210 [外科学];
摘要
Donorrecipient match is a matter of debate in liver transplantation. D-MELD (donor age x recipient biochemical model for end-stage liver disease [MELD]) and other factors were analyzed on a national Italian database recording 5946 liver transplants. Primary endpoint was to determine factors predictive of 3-year patient survival. D-MELD cutoff predictive of 5-year patient survival <50% (5yrsPS<50%) was investigated. A prognosis calculator was implemented (). Differences among D-MELD deciles allowed their regrouping into three D-MELD classes (A < 338, B 338-1628, C >1628). At 3 years, the odds ratio (OR) for death was 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.442.85) in D-MELD class C versus B. The OR was 0.40 (95% CI, 0.24-0.66) in class A versus class B. Other predictors were hepatitis C virus (HCV; OR = 1.42; 95% CI, 1.11-1.81), hepatitis B virus (HBV; OR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.51-0.93), retransplant (OR = 1.82; 95% CI, 1.16-2.87) and low-volume center (OR = 1.48; 95% CI, 1.1-11.99). Cox regressions up to 90 months confirmed results. The hazard ratio was 1.97 (95% CI, 1.592.43) for D-MELD class C versus class B and 0.42 (95% CI, 0.290.60) for D-MELD class A versus class B. Recipient age, HCV, HBV and retransplant were also significant. The 5yrsPS<50% cutoff was identified only in HCV patients (D-MELD = 1750). The innovative approach offered by D-MELD and covariates is helpful in predicting outcome after liver transplantation, especially in HCV recipients.
引用
收藏
页码:2724 / 2736
页数:13
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