Do measures of monetary policy in a VAR make sense?

被引:203
作者
Rudebusch, GD [1 ]
机构
[1] Fed Reserve Bank San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94105 USA
关键词
D O I
10.2307/2527344
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
No. In many vector autoregressions (VARs), monetary policy shocks are identified with the least squares residuals from a regression of the federal funds rate on an assortment of variables. Such regressions appear to be structurally fragile and are at odds with other evidence on the nature of the U.S. Federal Reserve's reaction function; furthermore, the residuals from these regressions show little correlation across various VARs or with funds rate shocks that are derived from forward-looking financial markets. My results provide a sharp critique of current monetary VARs.
引用
收藏
页码:907 / 931
页数:25
相关论文
共 44 条
[1]   TESTS FOR PARAMETER INSTABILITY AND STRUCTURAL-CHANGE WITH UNKNOWN CHANGE-POINT [J].
ANDREWS, DWK .
ECONOMETRICA, 1993, 61 (04) :821-856
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1993, MACROECONOMIC POLICY
[3]  
[Anonymous], BROOKINGS PAPERS EC
[4]  
BAGLIANO FC, 1997, UNPUB CEPR MAY
[5]  
BALKE NS, 1994, EC REV FEDERAL RESER, P15
[6]  
BALKE NS, 1994, ECON REV, P1
[7]  
BERNANKE BS, 1992, AM ECON REV, V82, P901
[8]  
BERNANKE BS, 1996, 5764 NBER
[9]  
BERNANKE BS, 1995, 9509 FED RES BANK SA
[10]  
BOMFIM AN, 1997, 199801 FEDS FED RES