Explaining Subjective Risks of Hurricanes and the Role of Risks in Intended Moving and Location Choice Models

被引：25

作者：

Baker, Justin ^{[2
]}

Shaw, W. Douglass ^{[1
]}

Bell, David ^{[1
]}

Brody, Sam

Riddel, Mary ^{[3
]}

Woodward, Richard T. ^{[1
]}

Neilson, William ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Agr Econ, College Stn, TX 77843 USA

[2] Duke Univ, Ctr Global Change, Durham, NC 27708 USA

[3] Univ Nevada, Dept Econ, Las Vegas, NV 89154 USA

[4] Univ Tennessee, Dept Econ, Knoxville, TN 37996 USA

来源：

NATURAL HAZARDS REVIEW | 2009年 / 10卷 / 03期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

NONEXPECTED UTILITY; DECISIONS;

D O I：

10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2009)10:3(102)

中图分类号：

TU [建筑科学];

学科分类号：

0813 ;

摘要：

Using stated choice survey data we report on subjects' perceptions of the risks of hurricanes and intended relocation decisions when faced with such risks. All of the subjects were displaced by either Hurricane Katrina or Rita, in New Orleans and other Gulf Coast areas in 2005. Results here suggest that subjective perceptions of risk are quite high as compared to scientific estimates of risk, and relocation decisions revealed from a discrete choice experiment are significantly determined by levels of hurricane strike risks.

引用

页码：102 / 112

页数：11

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